Evidence register · updated 6 June 2026

Claims you can trace. Limits you can see.

This register separates external facts, Locust simulation outputs, commercial assumptions and future validation targets. It is the source of record for factual claims across this website.

Scenario sweep270 physical cases
Cost evaluations810 cases
Aircraft references5 contender classes
Physical Locust flights0 to date
How to read this site
External

Primary-source fact

Linked to a regulator, government body, company filing or operator publication.

Modeled

Locust software output

Generated by the current Cambridge scenario engine from declared assumptions.

Proposed

Commercial or pilot target

A design choice, price, milestone or acceptance threshold to agree with partners.

Unproven

Evidence still required

Requires customer data, hardware tests, flight trials, approvals or independent review.

Current modeled result

Useful for choosing what to test, not for claiming deployment performance.

The headless sweep compares aircraft classes, fleet sizes, demand, tariffs and staffing assumptions. It is a screening tool for narrowing hardware and commercial experiments.

ModeledBalanced tariff: £1.32 contribution per attempted order

Zipline P2-class aggregate under assisted automation. Synthetic acceptance was 30.7%; the access tariff reached 67.7% acceptance but £1.10 contribution per attempt.

ModeledEarly-scale reference: 106 deliveries/hour

Twenty-four Zipline P2-class aircraft, two attempted orders per minute, balanced tariff, 900-second runs and two deterministic seeds.

UnprovenDemand, staffing and aircraft performance require calibration

No Locust flight data, merchant basket dataset, measured noise, approved supervision ratio or customer willingness-to-pay study exists yet.

Primary sources

Regulation, market context and operating references.

Access dates: 6 June 2026. Links open the original publisher. Commercial operator claims are useful benchmarks but are not independently verified by Locust.

01
UK Civil Aviation Authority

Beyond Visual Line of Sight

BVLOS requires an Operational Authorisation. The CAA describes efficiency, productivity, safety and economic opportunities while retaining air and ground-risk requirements.

Open CAA guidance ↗
02
UK Civil Aviation Authority

UK SORA and Specific Category risk

UK SORA classifies operational risk and identifies mitigations, technical requirements, training objectives and operating procedures.

Open CAA SORA guidance ↗
03
Aerospace Technology Institute

SME Programme

Official programme terms include grants up to £1.5 million, 12–36 month projects and at least 50% of eligible project cost allocated to MSMEs.

Open ATI programme ↗
04
Wing

Dallas-Fort Worth operating reference

Wing reports 75,000 deliveries, 315,000 miles and a 3 minute 27 second average flight across its first three years in the region.

Open operator source ↗
05
Manna

Payload and service reference

Manna publishes a 4 kg payload limit, under-three-minute flight and 20-minute service proposition alongside cumulative delivery figures.

Open operator source ↗
06
Walmart

Multi-city scale reference

Walmart reported one million cumulative drone deliveries, a 23-minute average and operations from 66 stores in five US metropolitan areas.

Open company source ↗
07
Deliveroo

UKI order and basket context

Deliveroo reported 159 million UKI orders and £26.30 gross transaction value per order for 2023. These totals do not establish local Cambridge demand.

Open reported figures ↗
08
Uber

Delivery platform scale

Uber reported Q4 2025 Delivery Gross Bookings of $25.431 billion. It did not publish a delivery-only trip count suitable for deriving an average order value.

Open investor release ↗
09
UK Low Pay Commission

Gig work and task pricing

The official evidence review covers self-employment, working time, task rates, costs and low-pay risks in the gig economy.

Open government research ↗
10
Health and Safety Executive

Gig and temporary-worker safety

HSE guidance states that health and safety law applies to gig, agency and temporary workers and sets responsibilities for organisations providing work.

Open HSE guidance ↗
11
Bank of England

Bank Rate

The Bank of England publishes the current official Bank Rate and decision history. Financing assumptions should use the value current when a project is priced.

Open Bank Rate source ↗
12
Locust repository output

Live model state and metrics

The operations console reads generated state and time-series files. Values can change when the simulator runs and remain illustrative until calibrated.

Inspect the operations model ↗
Required next evidence

What must be true before a pilot expands.

  1. 01Customer pullSigned route requirement, historic demand and a paid qualification engagement.
  2. 02Aircraft evidenceBench, HIL and flight measurements for payload, energy, reserve, noise and degraded modes.
  3. 03Operational authorityAuthorised operator, accepted risk assessment, trained personnel and approved operating limits.
  4. 04Public acceptancePublished routes, complaints process, privacy controls, acoustic baseline and agreed pause thresholds.
  5. 05EconomicsMeasured completion, labour, maintenance and infrastructure costs against the practical ground alternative.
Evidence review

Challenge a claim or bring better data.

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